Former President Donald Trump has a significant lead over President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 rematch, according to a new poll by Newsweek.
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| President Joe Biden speaks on Saturday at the Washington Convention Center in Washington, D.C., while former President Donald Trump, inset, arrives for a rally October 7, 2023, in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Trump is ahead of Biden in seven swing states, a new poll shows. SCOTT OLSON/KENT NISHIMURA/GETTY IMAGES |
The poll, which was conducted before the recent midterm elections, found that Trump is leading Biden by 14 points, with 45% of respondents saying they would vote for Trump and 31% saying they would vote for Biden.
The poll also found that Trump is leading Biden among all major demographic groups, including white voters, Hispanic voters, and black voters. Trump is also leading Biden among independent voters, who are often seen as the key to winning a presidential election.
The poll results are significant because they show that Trump remains a popular figure among Republican voters and that he is also appealing to some independent voters. If the poll results are accurate, it suggests that Trump would be the favorite to win the Republican nomination in 2024 and that he would have a good chance of defeating Biden in a general election rematch.
However, it is important to note that the poll was conducted before the recent midterm elections, which saw Democrats make gains in both the House and the Senate. The midterm results suggest that Biden's approval rating is improving and that Democrats may be able to maintain control of Congress in the 2022 elections.
If Democrats are able to maintain control of Congress, it would make it more difficult for Trump to pass his agenda and it could also damage his chances of winning re-election in 2024.
It is also important to note that the 2024 presidential election is still over a year away, and a lot can happen between now and then. Both Trump and Biden are still considering whether they will run for re-election, and the political landscape could change significantly in the next year.
Overall, the Newsweek poll provides evidence that Trump remains a popular figure among Republican voters and that he would be the favorite to win the Republican nomination in 2024. However, the poll results were conducted before the recent midterm elections, which saw Democrats make gains in both the House and the Senate. The midterm results suggest that Biden's approval rating is improving and that Democrats may be able to maintain control of Congress in the 2022 elections. If Democrats are able to maintain control of Congress, it would make it more difficult for Trump to pass his agenda and it could also damage his chances of winning re-election in 2024.
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